Below are our results since the inception of the service in 2007. All bets have been, and continue to be, proofed live to Secret Betting Club and Pro Gambler.
The current recommended bank is 30 points.
You can download a list of our entire bet history here
* Results last updated 26th November 2023
* In 2007 and 2008 we also recommended bets in the floor events (smaller off-TV tournaments). These bets made a substantial profit (+31.64 pts, 56% ROI). These were official bets at the time however we stopped recommending them midway through 2008 as members were finding it hard to get bets on as these were small markets. Therefore despite these bets making a large profit we have removed them from the records to ensure that the results accurately reflect future potential profit.
2023 is OnTheOche’s 17th year and as you can imagine strategies and approaches evolve as the years go by.
There have essentially been 3 phases of the service:-
PHASE 1 (2007 – 2011) – The Low Hanging Fruit Years
Back in the day, there was a lot of low hanging fruit to pick off in the darts markets. The markets weren’t very clued up and if you had a strong knowledge of the darts tour there were silly prices about. It was pretty easy to get value in your bets as the markets didn’t really have any kind of handle on any player outside the big names.
However as darts grew in popularity, both as a sport and as a betting medium, the markets had to sharpen up and they did. It of course wasn’t an instant change but by around 2011/2012 it was clear a change of strategy was needed.
PHASE 2 (2012 – 2016) – Focusing on lower ranked and overseas players
This was a tricky period as the markets had smartened up and now had a handle on most of the top players. However in 2012/2013, there were still only really the main TV tournaments to bet on. Lower ranked and lesser known players were at a disadvantage in those events as they weren’t as used to playing in big stage events as the top players were.
However in 2013 the PDC introduced the Euro Tour events, a selection of tournaments held throughout Europe. These events are played in front of big crowds and for good prize money. These events changed the PDC in my opinion as it allowed lower ranked and overseas players the same opportunities and stage experience that previously had only been open to the top players.
From a betting point of view, this allowed me to be able to focus on lower ranked and overseas players. It also helped the lower ranked, lesser known players when it came to the major TV events as they now had stage experience under their belts and were more likely to perform against the established players in the major events.
PHASE 3 (2017 – current) – Focus on lower ranked players and developing my own data
In January 2017 detailed data for every throw became available for the floor events (previously only results were publicly available). This changed the darts markets overnight and my approach to them.
This was ideal for me as it allowed me to combine my knowledge of the players and inside info with a huge database of statistics to give a “best of both worlds” approach.
It allowed increased confidence in bet selection and gives a sustainable and adaptable way of doing things, giving steady yearly growth on the recommended 30pt bank.
There are 2 different types of bets so I’ve broke the results down into the 2.
Most bets are match bets (player to win, handicap, 180 bets etc). These are the bread and butter and make up 90% of bets. Odds are usually in the 1.7 – 3.0 range.
The other 10% of bets are outright bets (player to win the event). These are at much bigger odds, usually 33/1, 40/1, 50/1 etc and sometimes even 250/1, 500/1 etc. The strike-rate on these is obviously very low and so can go long periods without hitting a winner. But obviously when you do win one you win big.
I’ll give a quick snapshot of 2007 – 2016 results as it shows our track record of beating the market. But it is 2017 onwards results (see further down) that are more relevant.
2017 – Current
January 2017 is when data became available for all darts events. This completely changed the darts markets and my betting approach. So for the best predictor of future performance, results from 2017 onwards are the most important things.
As you can see, the bread and butter match bets have returned a good profit but the more high risk, high reward outright bets have not hit a big winner for a while.
Having in previous years been a nice contributor to the service, the outright bets have been incredibly frustrating in recent times as we have hit the crossbar on numerous occasions. We’ve got into some great positions and come very close to landing some of those outright bets at odds of 250/1, 66/1, 40/1, 33/1 etc but a couple of doubles the wrong side of the wire has cost us.
That is, of course, the nature of big priced outright bets. They are going to lose most of the time until one lands. There’s nothing wrong with them and they will land a big one at some point but they will eat into your bread and butter profit until they do. If you’d prefer a smoother steadier ride, then it is perfectly fine just backing the standard match, handicap and 180 bets.
Like most sports, darts was heavily disrupted by the pandemic in 2020 and 2021. The majority of the Euro Tour events, World Series events, WDF events etc were all cancelled. This is where a good chunk of our profit comes from in a normal year so wasn’t ideal to say the least.
Things returned to a normal schedule for 2022. Have split the post-Jan 2017 results into COVID period and normal times below:-
Pre-COVID = Jan 2017 – March 2020
COVID = April 2020 – Dec 2021
Post-COVID = Jan 2022 – current
* All the figures quoted above are based on the official odds stated in the daily emails. In reality those prices (and hence these figures) can often be beaten as I record at the generally available price and never record at top odds. Most members report that they beat the official year end totals.